Quoting: most
Not at all. The foreign investment is probably affecting Warsaw but nowhere else. I blame the Polish govt as the pricing is led by supply restrictions which are their fault.
I have 2 properties in Poland, bought in 2001 and 2 in Czech, but for me the value in Poland is now long gone, it costs up to 3 times more than Czech which is 25% richer and has a better stock of housing.
In Poland the rent to buy equation no longer makes sense (for instance you will be unable to rent 50sqm in suburban Wroclaw for more than 2000 zloty which means you need to rent it for 18 years to cover your capital, never mind interest, assuming you dont have to do any repairs or have any management costs).
The capital growth will also stop soon - the crack point will happen when deposits need to be say 70.000 or 80.000 zloty - that's beyond the reach even of the migrant workers, let alone locally based Poles.
You guys go ahead - its a free country, a market economy and every man for themselves, but I'm an accountant and I think you will catch a cold.
Interesting post Most.........
Some developers have told me that prices per sqm2 have doubled in a year which makes me nervous. AS you say the value is gone.
I'm not sure what is driving up the price.
1. Developers say materials - probably as you say because of lack of supply
2. labour costs/ wages - have they doubled for Polish workers in the last year - I doubt it!!
3. Speculation - will always drive up prices in any market place especially with foreign investors who are none the wiser
4. Greed from developers - is this a possibility? Being fed of course by the demand from investors.
Could there be a small downturn in the short term? Surely. The price inflation does not make sense. What is the average monthly wage in Polands cities? Maybe 6/700 euro? I'm guessing.
If materials supply increase and the speculation decreases will there be than a levelling of prices.