Will Komorowski-Kaczyński TV debate swing voters?

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Jun 27, 10, 12:50 #1

The planned Komorowski-Kaczyński TV debate will not include a direct debate between canidates because the PO chickened out amand turned down such an offer. Instead 3 TV journalsits will throw questions at the candidates. The debate is chiefly meant to win over undecided voters and those whose candidates did not make it into the 2nd round. Do you think the debate can swing the vote? Who is the better debater?

SeanusThreads: 22 Posts: 30,158 Joined: Dec 25, 07 ♂	Jun 27, 10, 13:01 #2
Talk is cheap and everyone with at least one braincell knows that. 'Swingers' is more of a German concept ;) ;)

sobieskiThreads: 82 Posts: 1,143 Joined: Jun 1, 08 ♂	Jun 27, 10, 17:57 #3
I think Komorowski will be anyway handicapped in the second round. His voters - the educated urbane middleclass and the majority of Poland A - will be on some beach somewhere, crowding Mazuria next weekend or heading for another holiday destination. JK electorate - the pensioners, village people, the unemployed and all Poland B - are bound to stay at home anyway and will go to vote in any case.

SeanusThreads: 22 Posts: 30,158 Joined: Dec 25, 07 ♂	Jun 27, 10, 18:16 #4
The smartest comment of the day on PF by sobieski. BK is staring defeat in the face for that reason. JK will appeal to the peasants.

delphiandomineThreads: 42 Posts: 9,954 Joined: Nov 25, 08 ♂ [Suspended]	Jun 27, 10, 21:03 #5
sobieski: I think Komorowski will be anyway handicapped in the second round. I thought this - but - he will have the benefit of students who will actually be home for the 2nd round. So it may balance out fine - or it may be a huge tactical blunder by Komorowski. I don't think they expected Kaczynski to be in with a shout, though.

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Jun 27, 10, 21:09 #6

sobieski:

I think Komorowski will be anyway handicapped in the second round. His voters - the educated urbane middleclass and the majority of Poland A

That myth has been long rebuked, both parties are rooted in the same social strata.

sobieski:

JK electorate - the pensioners, village people, the unemployed and all Poland B - are bound to stay at home anyway and will go to vote in any case.

See above, both parties get exactly the same social groups with the difference of one being east one west, the peasants bit is nothing short of an insult towards PiS electorate with nil reflection in reality.

delphiandomine:

I thought this - but - he will have the benefit of students who will actually be home for the 2nd round. So it may balance out

Students by and large dont vote.

delphiandomineThreads: 42 Posts: 9,954 Joined: Nov 25, 08 ♂ [Suspended]	Jun 27, 10, 21:58 #7
Sokrates: Students by and large dont vote. Well, who was voting for the SLD then? Napieralski got what, 20% of the vote from 18-24 year olds - these weren't school leavers who went into work!

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Jun 27, 10, 22:05 #8

delphiandomine:

Well, who was voting for the SLD then?

Same people as for years, SLD got a 4% boost but in general its electorate didnt really change.

delphiandomine:

Napieralski got what, 20% of the vote from 18-24 year olds - these weren't school leavers who went into work!

Napierdalski got 13.68% which is a boost from 9.5% in the polls and previous elections but not much, his goal was to keep SLD afloat and sway a couple of hundred thousand people and he did accomplish that much but no big boom for SLD though they did succeed in creating such an impression (which was also a side goal for them).

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