convex: "no longer sell at 1/3 of market price", It transports through our territory and pays the fee which was agreed upon at 20% discount for gas price. Don't think Russians are as stupid to sell gas for 1/3 of a price. There are other inter-governmental agreement, which seemed to work till right after the Orange revolution. Again this issue is murky waters as I don't believe any politician whoever side he represents.
Why? All I am saying Poland should not be dependant neither on Russian, nor on German supplies. Who pays - orders the music. And it is Ok. You have a powerful economy
Bratwurst Boy: The EU is Germany....for decades Germany build and paid the EU....call it war guilt I can understand your self-sacrifice:
[quote]What does the expansion offer Germans? In the first place, it's a peace project. It creates peace, stability, and safety in the region of Europe that immediately borders Germany. People there have known for years what political, economic and financial results instability leads to. German soldiers are in Kosovo, German soldiers are in Bosnia… In Kosovo alone, for one million people, Europe raised €10 billion ($12 billion) to maintain the ceasefire. Peace pays off, after all. As Luxemburg's prime minister, Jean-Claude Juncker, said: A year of peace costs less than a day of war! The second is an enormous economic profit -- especially for Germany. It arises from (the fact) that this economic area will be populated after all by 110 million people, if we include Romania and Bulgaria, and everywhere here there is an immense unsatisfied demand. We have very stabile, very robust growth rates in these countries, that are noticeably above the growth rates in the remainder of the EU. The export-oriented German economy profits particularly from this quickly growing market. But initially the Germans will have to dig deeper into their pockets for the expansion. The European Commission has demanded more money for it, more than €37 billion will be pumped into the new countries in the coming years. How can you make that appealing to the taxpayer? The financing for this expansion round was already decided in Berlin in 1999. We are spending around €15 billion less than was then calculated and will get by with a total of €40 billion until 2006. The new countries will pay €15 billion of that themselves. All in all, the expansion will cost Germany a net total of €2.5 billion in the first three years. On the other hand, Germany will have an enormous trade balance surplus. That's why viewed economically it's a win-win situation. It makes no sense to say that the expansion will lead to an additional burden for the Germans
convex: Look on the other side. They could continue the overland round with all the risk that entails, or bring the gas directly to their customers in Western Europe along a pipeline that is 100% under their control. Not only that, but they have the capital to invest in the pipeline today, no more transit fees in the future, only maintenance costs which are already being paid on the overland route. Germany does what is essential for its security, nobody's else. And this is fine. I once argued about that, but not anymore. Again I am suggesting for Poland to keep diversified and not rely on its neighbors.
|